The Numbers Game: Why Everything You Know About Soccer Is Wrong [Kindle Edition] Author: David Sally Chris Anderson | Language: English | ISBN:
B00BPDR3E2 | Format: PDF, EPUB
The Numbers Game: Why Everything You Know About Soccer Is Wrong Free PDF
Download for free books The Numbers Game: Why Everything You Know About Soccer Is Wrong [Kindle Edition] Free PDF from 4shared, mediafire, hotfile, and mirror link Moneyball meets Freakonomics in this myth-busting guide to understanding—and winning—the most popular sport on the planet
Innovation is coming to soccer, and at the center of it all are the numbers—a way of thinking about the game that ignores the obvious in favor of how things actually are. In The Numbers Game, Chris Anderson, a former professional goalkeeper turned soccer statistics guru, teams up with behavioral analyst David Sally to uncover the numbers that really matter when it comes to predicting a winner. Investigating basic but profound questions—How valuable are corners? Which goal matters most? Is possession really nine-tenths of the law? How should a player’s value be judged?—they deliver an incisive, revolutionary new way of watching and understanding soccer.
Direct download links available for The Numbers Game: Why Everything You Know About Soccer Is Wrong [Kindle Edition] Free PDF
- File Size: 4626 KB
- Print Length: 385 pages
- Page Numbers Source ISBN: 0143124560
- Publisher: Penguin Books (July 30, 2013)
- Sold by: Penguin Group (USA) LLC
- Language: English
- ASIN: B00BPDR3E2
- Text-to-Speech: Enabled
X-Ray:
- Lending: Not Enabled
- Amazon Best Sellers Rank: #83,411 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
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in Kindle Store > Kindle eBooks > Humor & Entertainment > Puzzles & Games > Fantasy Sports - #8
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in Kindle Store > Kindle eBooks > Nonfiction > Sports > Miscellaneous > Reference
As a statistician and soccer fan, I have always been a fan of books that attempt to sift through the data and come to objective conclusions about the reality of the game. Unfortunately, the book's positioning statement (Why Everything You Know About Football is Wrong) appears to have been implemented at the expense of objective conclusions based on that data.
Let me give you a brief example based on certain claims made in Chapter 1.
The authors make the conclusion that half of all games are decided by luck, unfortunately, this conclusion does not follow from its premises.
- The first problem (I admit, this might be a failure to clarify as opposed to making unwarranted conclusion) is that the authors fail to specify how draws work into their analysis. They claim that "a little over half" of all games are won by favorites and that "the likelihood of the underdog winning was 45.2%" while at the same time stating that 1-1 draws are the most common score line. It may just be that the percentages they offer simply do not include game that ended in a draw, however, if this is the case, they did a terrible job communicating this to the reader.
- The authors also failed to eliminate other possible explanations for their data and instead jumped to the one conclusion that might result in the more surprising revelation. Their claim that 50% of games are decided by luck stems primarily from the fact that only about 50% of the game is won by favorites, therefore if skill is not the determining factor in a specific game, it must have been a result of chance.
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